"The credit boom is built on the sands of banknotes and deposits. ... If the credit expansion is not stopped in time, the boom turns into the crack-up boom; the flight into real values begins, and the whole monetary system founders." —Ludwig von Mises, Human Action
Sunday, September 20, 2015
2015-08 Relative Price Trends
Consumer prices in China increased 2.0% in August from a year earlier. Purchaser prices declined -6.6% over the same period. The divergent trends in China’s structure of production that began at the beginning of 2015 accelerated in August. Two additional surprises came out of August’s numbers. First, although the Consumer Price Index is at the highest point it has been at in a year, because of the devaluation against the U.S. dollar in August, consumer prices have dropped for overseas Chinese. Additionally, although the devaluation should have hit producer prices harder than consumer prices, the drop in producer prices was the largest since the Global Financial Crisis. The devaluation itself spooked commodity markets into lower territory.