"The credit boom is built on the sands of banknotes and deposits. ... If the credit expansion is not stopped in time, the boom turns into the crack-up boom; the flight into real values begins, and the whole monetary system founders." —Ludwig von Mises, Human Action
Sunday, November 1, 2015
2015-10 Relative Equity Performance
In October, the exchange traded fund tracking the consumer goods sector, CHIQ, fell -0.58% over the trailing twelve months. The materials sector equivalent, CHIM, fell -10.79% over the same period. This is the second month in a row that CHIQ has outperformed CHIM, and is close to being positive over the trailing twelve months. This trend should continue if the cost of raw materials continue to fall at an accelerating rate while consumer prices are essentially flat.